
Stop telling me to do my”research”. Sane people use the the internet to research the best price on underpants and the top recipe for mushroom risotto. You can’t research pandemics and virology on the internet to the point where you become a credible authority.
— Shaye Ganam (@ShayeGanam) April 3, 2021
1. Burden of proof
There’s a general rule in argumentation: “What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence.” What this means is that if we make a claim about the world, we bear the burden of proving that our claim is true. Carl Sagan famously argued this as “extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence”. This is an essential part of public discourse – if we want the public to agree with us, we must accept the burden of proof for demonstrating our ideas. Say we want to make a claim like: <em“The COVID-19 vaccine is poison.” This is an extraordinary claim. We have a well-established track record of safe vaccines. To begin to take the “poison” claim seriously, we’ll need some serious facts to back it up. Perhaps there are studies that demonstrate that a vaccine is poisonous or causes significant adverse reactions. But it’s still our job to provide that evidence – no one is required to take us seriously until we do. Once that evidence is provided, we can evaluate whether that evidence is reliable and whether it relates to the main claim.I love this line. “Do your own research”. No, when you make a claim so you need to provide the evidence. Burden of proof. pic.twitter.com/hvPsHx1CNW
— Jan-Bart Spang (@janbartspang) March 7, 2021
2. Confirmation bias
Our minds don’t always work by being slow, reasonable and deliberate – that would be exhausting. Instead we use what’s called heuristics (mental shortcuts) to enable us to act and behave quickly. We use heuristics to make choices while driving in traffic, or deciding which way to dodge in a football game, or when to turn down the heat when cooking. There are simply too many tiny decisions to make every day to not have these shortcuts. A cognitive bias is similar to a heuristic but with an important distinction – it comes with an error embedded in the decision. A specific type of cognitive bias is a confirmation bias: the tendency to interpret facts and information in a way that supports what we already believe. For example, if we’re distrustful of government, we’re more likely to believe news stories about corruption and fraud on the part of our elected officials. The problem with confirmation bias is that it leads us to irrationally privilege certain types of information over others. It’s much harder to change our minds when they’re already primed to believe certain things – about vaccines, for example. In our search for information, we’ll look to sources that support claims we already agree with or deny claims we don’t like. If we are already suspicious or fearful of a vaccine and someone says “do your research on the harms of the vaccine”, we’re more likely to cherry-pick individual cases of adverse vaccine effects.winning an argumentMy list of ‘Things That Anti-Vaccine People Say Are In Covid Vaccines Which Are Not Actually In Covid Vaccines’ has got somewhat longer since I last shared it. I’ve seen all of these at the Royal Facebookshire Hospital and the Twitter Do Your Own Research Institute. pic.twitter.com/c2hnpCbDTy
— Alistair Coleman (@alistaircoleman) January 30, 2022